Crowd Wisdom Relies on Agents' Ability in Small Groups with a Voting Aggregation Rule

نویسندگان

  • Marc Keuschnigg
  • Christian Ganser
چکیده

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Error-Correction and Aggregation in Crowd-Sourcing of Geopolitical Incident Information

A discriminative model is presented for crowd-sourcing the annotation of news stories to produce a structured dataset about incidents involving militarized disputes between nation-states. We used a question tree to gather partially redundant data from each crowd worker. A lattice of Bayesian Networks was then applied to error correct the individual worker annotations, the results of which were ...

متن کامل

Predicting Cellular Automata

We explore the ability of a locally informed individual agent to predict the future state of a cell in systems of varying degrees of complexity using Wolfram’s onedimensional binary cellular automata. We then compare the agent’s performance to that of two small groups of agents voting by majority rule. We find stable rules (Class I) to be highly predictable, and most complex (Class IV) and chao...

متن کامل

Deliberation increases the wisdom of crowds

The aggregation of many independent estimates can outperform the most accurate individual judgment. This centenarian finding , popularly known as the “wisdom of crowds”, has been applied to problems ranging from the diagnosis of cancer to financial forecasting. It is widely believed that social influence undermines collective wisdom by reducing the diversity of opinions within the crowd. Here, ...

متن کامل

Social Bayesian Learning in the Wisdom of the Crowd

Being able to correctly aggregate the beliefs of many people into a single belief is a problem fundamental to many important social, economic and political processes such as policy making, market pricing and voting. Although there exist many models and mechanisms for aggregation, there is a lack of methods and literature regarding the aggregation of opinions when in uence and learning between i...

متن کامل

CrowdIQ: A New Opinion Aggregation Model

In this study, we investigate the problem of aggregating crowd opinions for decision making. The Wisdom of Crowds (WoC) theory explains how crowd opinions should be aggregated in order to improve the performance of decision making. Crowd independence and a weighting mechanism are two important factors to crowd wisdom. However, most existing crowd opinion aggregation methods fail to build a diff...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Management Science

دوره 63  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017